Originally Posted by Ursa major
... I think the concentration on Iran's need for nuclear weapons because of its opposition to Israel and the US is a useful smokescreen for all concerned ...
That's it, a smokescreen, like Iraq.
If China shows the will to mount its nukes on ICBMs, that will be the time for real concern. Both China and India have the ability to create ICBMs, both have well developed space capability.
The big threat of Iran possibly developing a single nuke, in the next few years, is obviously not worth all the fuss going on at the moment. Of course Israel will support any initiatives to prevent its neighbous developing nukes, of course they will.
But in the meantime it's conflicting global interests around Iran that are the real issue, and I'm sorry to say it, but the west has looked like the military aggressor all along, under the terrorism label that has taken over from the cold war, taking quick advantage of the Arab Spring, (except in Syria which has no strategic advantage, and difficult complications with Russia and China) and with no sign of stopping now ...